Species Richness Estimation

Estimate true species richness from sample data.

Overview

Observed species counts are almost always underestimates of true richness. FieldEco provides several estimators to predict actual species numbers from your samples.

Why Estimate Richness?

Problem: You observed 50 species, but how many are actually present?

Solution: Statistical estimators predict unobserved species based on:

  • Rare species patterns
  • Accumulation rates
  • Sample coverage

Chao1 Estimator

Non-parametric estimator using singleton/doubleton counts.

Formula

S_Chao1 = S_obs + (f1² / 2f2)

Where:

  • S_obs = observed species
  • f1 = singletons (species with 1 individual)
  • f2 = doubletons (species with 2 individuals)

When to Use

  • Abundance data available
  • Many rare species expected
  • Moderate sample sizes

Interpretation

  • Provides minimum estimate
  • More singletons → more undetected species
  • If f2 = 0, uses modified formula

Chao2 Estimator

For incidence (presence/absence) data across samples.

Formula

S_Chao2 = S_obs + (Q1² / 2Q2)

Where:

  • Q1 = uniques (species in 1 sample only)
  • Q2 = duplicates (species in 2 samples)

When to Use

  • Multiple samples/plots
  • Only presence/absence data
  • Replicated sampling

Jackknife Estimators

Resampling-based approaches.

First-Order Jackknife

S_Jack1 = S_obs + f1(n-1)/n

Second-Order Jackknife

S_Jack2 = S_obs + [f1(2n-3)/n] - [f2(n-2)²/(n(n-1))]

Characteristics

  • Less bias than Chao
  • Higher variance
  • More conservative estimates

Bootstrap Estimator

Uses resampling to estimate richness.

Characteristics

  • Moderate bias
  • Lower variance than Jackknife
  • Good for moderate sample sizes

Species Accumulation Curves

Visualize sampling completeness.

What It Shows

  • Species discovered vs. sampling effort
  • Approaching asymptote = sampling complete
  • Steep curve = more species to find

Interpretation

Curve ShapeMeaning
Steep, risingMany species remain
Leveling offApproaching complete
FlatSampling likely complete

Sample Coverage

Proportion of community sampled.

Coverage Definition

C = 1 - (f1 / n)

Where n = total individuals

Interpretation

CoverageMeaning
<50%Inadequate sampling
50-80%Moderate coverage
>80%Good coverage
>95%Excellent coverage

Using Analysis in FieldEco

Running Analysis

  1. Open completed survey(s)
  2. Tap Analysis
  3. Select Species Richness
  4. View estimators and curve

Results Include

  • All estimator values
  • Standard errors
  • Accumulation curve
  • Coverage estimate

Choosing an Estimator

Data TypeRecommended
Abundance dataChao1
Presence/absenceChao2
Conservative estimateJackknife2
Moderate approachBootstrap

Best Practices

Sampling

  • Use consistent effort
  • Multiple samples improve estimates
  • Record singletons carefully

Reporting

  • Report observed AND estimated
  • Include confidence intervals
  • Note estimator used
  • Describe sampling effort